Matt Fargo’s NBA Handicapping Picks & ATS Predictions

This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our Sunday Free Play. Seattle and Detroit have split the first two games of this series and they come into Sunday with identical road and home records at 15-15. The Mariners continue to lead the American League West by two games over the Rangers as they are three games over .500 thanks to a recent 8-2 run. Luis Castillo has made some strides over his last two outings, both of which were split tandem games with Bryce Miller, one start and one relief appearance. He is not happy about the arrangement but there is not much for him to say considering he has been awful with a 5.53 ERA and 1.45 WHIP across 55.1 innings and this includes a 5.86 ERA and 1.52 WHIP on the road. The Tigers had a four-game winning streak snapped with the Saturday loss and they send out Jack Flaherty who has been a disappointment with a 5.31 ERA but is pitching a more respectable 4.49 xERA. He is coming off his best start of the season against the Rays and he picked up his first win of the season after going 0-7 and having five no decisions. Play (968) Detroit Tigers

Fargo is coming off a slightly profitable 1-1 MLB Saturday with the winner on the +118 White Sox and he is back on Sunday to continue the solid MLB start. He was +$25,630 in profits last year and is +$19,570 this season and he has THREE Winners today as he goes for a PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP so let’s cash.

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Miami bounced back with a 4-3 win last night after getting shut out 6-0 on Friday to make it four wins in five games. Sandy Alcantara has been really good or really bad this season as he has allowed three runs or less in nine of his 13 starts including two runs or fewer six times while giving up a total of 28 earned runs in his other four outings. That included 14 runs in two starts prior to tossing a quality outing against Washington last time out. He is back home where he has a 3.94 ERA in seven starts and take out two bad ones, his ERA at home is 2.23 in those other five games. Tampa Bay has lost four of five games and are one game up on the Yankees in the American League East. Griffin Jax has now made seven starts and while he seemed to have started strong, he had short leashes and was lit up last time out. His 3.60 ERA is skewed with his 4.60 xERA. 10* (978) Miami Marlins

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. This is one of our top spots to play the Rockies in a series finale after losing the first two or three games which Colorado has done. They have dropped the first two in this series and three straight overall following a 4-1 run and they catch a break today after having to face Jacob Misiorowski on Saturday. Shane Drohan pitched decent in a spot start on Monday as he allowed two runs over four innings while throwing 68 pitches. He had been coming out of the bullpen so his pitch count was limited and he has made only four appearances on the road and this will be his first game at Coors Field which can be daunting for a newcomer. Another reason the Rockies are such big dogs is because of Kyle Freeland who has been lit up in five of his last six starts. His days have to be getting numbered but he is on an equal plane with Drohan with their xERA and xFIP. 10* (956) Colorado Rockies

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Cardinals have won three straight games including the first two in this series following a 6-5 win on Saturday on a two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning. They are trying to keep pace with the Brewers in the National League Central and send Michael McGreevy to the hill who has been on a solid run. He has allowed three runs or less in six of his last seven starts and 10 of his 12 starts on the season to post a 2.98 ERA but the metrics tell a different story as he is pitching to a 5.67 xERA. The Red conversely have dropped three straight games to fall a game under .500 and sit in last place in the division. Rhett Lowder got rolled by the Pirates two starts back and then left the following start with a shoulder issue before landing on the IL. He looked good with his rehab assignments and his xERA is over a half-run lower than McGreevy. 10* (953) Cincinnati Reds